Aj Discala reports that François Hollande, the Socialist challenger, eked out a victory in the first round of French presidential elections on Sunday, but his slender lead over the incumbent, Nicolas Sarkozy, delivered no clear answer about Mr. Sarkozy’s fate or the direction of a European power in an era of debt crisis, low growth and high unemployment.
Aj Discala could ready in the NY Times: “ As expected, Mr. Hollande and Mr. Sarkozy finished well ahead of eight other contenders and will now face each other in a runoff on May 6. Though opinion polls show that Mr. Hollande has a double-digit lead in the race, the showing on Sunday for far-right and centrist candidates fed hopes in Mr. Sarkozy’s camp that he could fight back and avoid becoming the first French leader in 30 years to lose office after one term.With about 33 percent of the vote counted, preliminary results released by the Interior Ministry shortly after the last poll closed at 8 p.m. showed Mr. Hollande had secured about 27.5 percent of the vote in a field of 10 candidates, while Mr. Sarkozy, of the center-right Union for a Popular Movement, had 26.6 percent.
Aj Discala shares that François Hollande was the clear favorite in the last wave of polls before this weekend’s election. Four of the last six polls published predict that Hollande will win. A fifth predicts that he will finish neck and neck with rival Nicolas Sarkozy, says Aj Discala.
For Aj Discala it was mainly a strategic vote. As the election comes down to the wire, many voters have choosen to vote for their political leanings and not necessarily their candidate.
Aj Discala explains that according to the Ipsos poll, Hollande will recuperate 80% of voters from people who actually support far-left candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon. The Socialist party had serious concerns that Mélenchon, the trendy candidate who has inspired huge support from the left, would hurt Hollande’s chances at the presidency.
However, clarifies Aj Discala, only two candidates will advance from the first round of French elections to the second, but the third candidate remains an important indicator of the election climate.
For Aj Discala this election that will weigh on the future of Europe.



